{"id":"VLO-20260801","symbol":"VLO","date":"2026-08-01","facts":{"symbol":"VLO","name":"Valero Energy Corporation","sector":"Energy","industry":"Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing","country":"United States","summary":"Valero Energy Corporation manufactures, markets, and sells petroleum-based and low-carbon liquid transportation fuels and petrochemical products in the United States, Canada, the United Kingdom, Ireland, Latin America, Mexico, Peru, and internationally. It operates through three segments: Refining, Renewable Diesel, and Ethanol. The company produces California Reformulated Gasoline Blendstock for Oxygenate Blending (CARBOB) and Conventional Blendstock for Oxygenate Blending (CBOB) gasolines, CARB diesel, diesel, jet fuel, heating oil, and asphalt; feedstocks; aromatics; sulfur and residual fuel oil; intermediate oils; and sulfur, sweet, and sour crude oils. It sells its refined products through wholesale rack and bulk markets; and through outlets under the Valero, Beacon, Diamond Shamrock, Shamrock, Ultramar, and Texaco brands. The company also owns and operates renewable diesel and ethanol plants, as well as produces and sells renewable diesel, renewable naphtha, and neat sustainable aviation fuel under the Diamond Green Diesel brand name. In addition, it offers ethanol and various co-products, including dry distillers grains, syrup, and inedible distillers corn oil to animal feed customers. The company was formerly known as Valero Refining and Marketing Company and changed its name to Valero Energy Corporation in August 1997. Valero Energy Corporation was founded in 1980 and is headquartered in San Antonio, Texas.","tradeCcy":"USD","finCcy":"USD","isPence":false,"price":312.9,"priceMajor":312.9,"mcap":90092503040,"shares":287927461,"ev":101732270080,"beta":0.545,"high52":320.24,"low52":130.78,"drawdown":-0.02292030976767434,"ret6m":0.5571037571535207,"ret12m":1.3973337419552556,"trailingPE":13.053818,"forwardPE":12.409945,"priceToBook":3.892372,"dividendYield":0.0153,"revenueTTM":132649000960,"ebitda":13272999936,"grossMargin":0.16093001,"opMargin":0.11683,"profitMargin":0.054369997,"roe":null,"revGrowthTTM":0.576,"ocfTTM":null,"fcfTTM":null,"totalCash":5733000192,"totalDebt":11491000320,"netDebt":5758000128,"est":{"rev0y":145722932560,"eps0y":38.16078,"rev1y":123171201220,"eps1y":25.21365,"growth1y":-0.3393,"target":290.22223,"nAnalysts":18,"rec":"buy"},"hist":{"years":["2022","2023","2024","2025"],"revenue":[176383000000,144766000000,129881000000,122687000000],"netIncome":[11528000000,8835000000,2770000000,2348000000],"fcf":[10893000000,8318000000,5776000000,5030000000],"ocf":[12574000000,9229000000,6683000000,5826000000],"opIncome":[15751000000,11858000000,3755000000,4312000000],"eps":[29.04,24.92,8.58,7.57],"equity":[23561000000,26346000000,24512000000,23725000000],"revCAGR3":-0.11397235202184985,"lossYears":0},"cyclicality":0.12246393209201775,"isFinancial":false,"chartPts":[{"d":"2024-07-29","c":140.85},{"d":"2024-08-05","c":143.24},{"d":"2024-08-12","c":142.05},{"d":"2024-08-19","c":138.3},{"d":"2024-08-26","c":139.12},{"d":"2024-09-02","c":127.23},{"d":"2024-09-09","c":127.3},{"d":"2024-09-16","c":127.49},{"d":"2024-09-23","c":128.92},{"d":"2024-09-30","c":135.03},{"d":"2024-10-07","c":134.96},{"d":"2024-10-14","c":129.93},{"d":"2024-10-21","c":125.53},{"d":"2024-10-28","c":121.57},{"d":"2024-11-04","c":129.6},{"d":"2024-11-11","c":132.89},{"d":"2024-11-18","c":134.61},{"d":"2024-11-25","c":132.87},{"d":"2024-12-02","c":125.64},{"d":"2024-12-09","c":123.37},{"d":"2024-12-16","c":113.29},{"d":"2024-12-23","c":114.24},{"d":"2024-12-30","c":118.71},{"d":"2025-01-06","c":121.47},{"d":"2025-01-13","c":134.75},{"d":"2025-01-20","c":133.39},{"d":"2025-01-27","c":128.1},{"d":"2025-02-03","c":128.17},{"d":"2025-02-10","c":130.32},{"d":"2025-02-17","c":129.77},{"d":"2025-02-24","c":125.91},{"d":"2025-03-03","c":122.17},{"d":"2025-03-10","c":124.38},{"d":"2025-03-17","c":126.66},{"d":"2025-03-24","c":126.63},{"d":"2025-03-31","c":100.83},{"d":"2025-04-07","c":106.62},{"d":"2025-04-14","c":106},{"d":"2025-04-21","c":109.67},{"d":"2025-04-28","c":114.54},{"d":"2025-05-05","c":118.4},{"d":"2025-05-12","c":130.74},{"d":"2025-05-19","c":124.86},{"d":"2025-05-26","c":125.27},{"d":"2025-06-02","c":124.67},{"d":"2025-06-09","c":130.26},{"d":"2025-06-16","c":137.05},{"d":"2025-06-23","c":130.82},{"d":"2025-06-30","c":140.43},{"d":"2025-07-07","c":148.66},{"d":"2025-07-14","c":141.96},{"d":"2025-07-21","c":137.9},{"d":"2025-07-28","c":130.41},{"d":"2025-08-04","c":130.52},{"d":"2025-08-11","c":133.96},{"d":"2025-08-18","c":142.35},{"d":"2025-08-25","c":148.85},{"d":"2025-09-01","c":153.52},{"d":"2025-09-08","c":153.47},{"d":"2025-09-15","c":159.24},{"d":"2025-09-22","c":171.98},{"d":"2025-09-29","c":157.07},{"d":"2025-10-06","c":154.74},{"d":"2025-10-13","c":154.49},{"d":"2025-10-20","c":167.5},{"d":"2025-10-27","c":166.04},{"d":"2025-11-03","c":171.97},{"d":"2025-11-10","c":177.99},{"d":"2025-11-17","c":170.92},{"d":"2025-11-24","c":174.18},{"d":"2025-12-01","c":171.6},{"d":"2025-12-08","c":165.85},{"d":"2025-12-15","c":160.34},{"d":"2025-12-22","c":161.62},{"d":"2025-12-29","c":162.9},{"d":"2026-01-05","c":182.58},{"d":"2026-01-12","c":180.78},{"d":"2026-01-19","c":184.36},{"d":"2026-01-26","c":178.78},{"d":"2026-02-02","c":200.95},{"d":"2026-02-09","c":198.46},{"d":"2026-02-16","c":199.04},{"d":"2026-02-23","c":202.89},{"d":"2026-03-02","c":222.71},{"d":"2026-03-09","c":228.62},{"d":"2026-03-16","c":237.81},{"d":"2026-03-23","c":252.14},{"d":"2026-03-30","c":242},{"d":"2026-04-06","c":236.78},{"d":"2026-04-13","c":221.74},{"d":"2026-04-20","c":233.83},{"d":"2026-04-27","c":244.76},{"d":"2026-05-04","c":239},{"d":"2026-05-11","c":248.59},{"d":"2026-05-18","c":246.01},{"d":"2026-05-25","c":243.88},{"d":"2026-06-01","c":254.84},{"d":"2026-06-08","c":257.67},{"d":"2026-06-15","c":235.39},{"d":"2026-06-22","c":258.37},{"d":"2026-06-29","c":266.73},{"d":"2026-07-06","c":279.61},{"d":"2026-07-13","c":308.46},{"d":"2026-07-20","c":301.34},{"d":"2026-07-27","c":312.9},{"d":"2026-07-31","c":312.9}],"problems":[],"fetchedUtc":"2026-08-01T07:39:13.787Z","pct":{"roe":null,"opMargin":15,"fwdPE":70,"fcfYield":null,"revGrowth":95,"ret12m":95},"fcfYieldTTM":null},"val":{"viable":true,"model":"dcf","fcf0":6.77,"fcf0Ccy":"USD","anchor":"median af 2 kandidater: historisk median-FCF (3 år) = 5,8 mia. USD; konsensus-nettoresultat i år × 0,71 (cash-konvertering, cyklikalitetsjusteret) = 7,8 mia. USD","scenarios":{"bear":{"perShare":104.58,"tvShare":0.43,"g1":-0.17,"gT":0.02,"wacc":0.09,"fcfMult":0.82,"prob":0.25},"base":{"perShare":245.37,"tvShare":0.55,"g1":-0.09,"gT":0.025,"wacc":0.08,"fcfMult":1,"prob":0.5},"bull":{"perShare":469.33,"tvShare":0.65,"g1":-0.026,"gT":0.03,"wacc":0.073,"fcfMult":1.1,"prob":0.25}},"probs":{"bear":0.25,"base":0.5,"bull":0.25},"weighted":266.16,"upside":-0.149,"impliedG1":-0.039,"sensitivity":{"waccLabels":["-2 pp","-1 pp","8,0 %","+1 pp","+2 pp"],"rows":[{"label":"4,1 mia. USD","cells":[224,172,139,116,100]},{"label":"5,4 mia. USD","cells":[305,236,192,162,139]},{"label":"6,8 mia. USD","cells":[386,300,245,207,179]},{"label":"8,5 mia. USD","cells":[488,380,312,264,229]},{"label":"10,2 mia. USD","cells":[589,460,378,321,279]}]},"assumptions":["FCF-anker: 6,8 mia. USD (median af 2 kandidater: historisk median-FCF (3 år) = 5,8 mia. USD; konsensus-nettoresultat i år × 0,71 (cash-konvertering, cyklikalitetsjusteret) = 7,8 mia. USD).","Krydstjek: konsensus-nettoresultat i år (11,0 mia. USD) ligger klart over FCF-ankeret — modellen anker bevidst i historisk cash flow, ikke i estimaterne. Er estimaterne holdbare, er fair value for lav.","Startvækst (base) -9,0 %: blandning af konsensus (-15,5 %), historisk 3-års CAGR (-11,4 %) og universets median (7,6 %), fadet lineært til terminal over 10 år.","WACC (base) 8,0 %: 8 % + betajustering (beta 0.55)."]},"verdict":{"label":"AFVENT","tone":"warn","body":"Kursen ligger 14,9 % over vægtet fair value — markedet indregner mere, end de normaliserede tal understøtter."},"nar":{"bull":["Høj afkast på 139,7% over 12 måneder","Stor omsætningsvækst på 57,6% ttm","Høj driftsmargin på 11,7%","Lav forward PE på 12,4x","Høj procentil på 95 for 12-måneders afkast"],"bear":["Kursen er allerede høj med en upside på -14,9% til fair value","Reverse DCF-kursen indregner en startvækst på -3,9%","Nettogæld på 5,8 mia. USD","Lavere anbefaling fra konsensus med et kursmål på 290,22","Cyklikalitet på 0,12 kan påvirke fremtidig vækst"],"risks":["Fald i oliepriser kan påvirke selskabets drift","Ændringer i reguleringsmiljøet kan påvirke selskabets forretning","Konkurrence fra andre energiselskaber kan påvirke markedet","Udvikling i den globale økonomi kan påvirke efterspørgslen på energi"],"catalysts":["Øget efterspørgsel på energi kan føre til højere priser","Nye teknologier kan reducere selskabets omkostninger og øge effektiviteten","Strategiske partnerskaber eller opkøb kan udvide selskabets marked"],"oneLiner":"Valero Energy Corporation har høj afkast og omsætningsvækst, men kursen er allerede høj og indeholder en lav startvækst, hvilket kan påvirke fremtidig vækst.","source":"ai"},"engine":"v1"}